As we get closer and closer to the Iowa caucuses on January 3, this is a question I’ve been asking myself with more and more intensity. The prospect that Israel will finally be cut loose and will no longer have an “American Father” but rather a true American friend excites me deeply for both countries.
Israel, both its leadership as well as the Jewish people at large, are so mentally dependent on America that they cannot imagine not being constantly backed by our father in the Western Hemisphere. A Ron Paul victory would be such a mental shock to Israeli society that the Jewish people would be in a type of frenzy, worrying about the future of the Jewish State and predicting doom once foreign aid is cut off.
There will be much confusion here among the leadership as one of the main objectives, if not THE objective of Israeli political leadership has been to secure American friendship so we don’t feel alone. The better they are at being friends with America, the better the Prime Minister of Israel is considered to be. This is why Ariel Sharon was so popular, whereas Netanyahu is at most tolerated, but nobody here really likes him like they liked Sharon.
So what would happen would be similar to a junkie losing his supply of cocaine. Israel would go into something of an existential frenzy, though she wouldn’t be in any real danger, much like an addict isn’t in any real danger when he runs out of blow.
With Israel off the American dime, the people will be able to look in other, more important directions than the American direction. They will seek out new leaders with new paradigms, start to work on the country like it is actually independent.
I believe that it is no coincidence that the Republican primaries and the Likud primaries are happening around the same time. As Ron Paul rises to prominence and the American people start to undergo a mental paradigm shift, Moshe Feiglin will rise in Israel, speaking the Israeli equivalent of the libertarian message, and the Jewish people will undergo the same sort of revolution, waking up from decades of political depressants.
By the time the 2012 elections come around, this could be a very, very different world.